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The Profit Logic and Risk Essence of Forex Trading: Core Advice from Large-Capital Long-Term Investors.
In the two-way trading system of forex investment, the core advice of a seasoned large-capital long-term investor is worth pondering for all market participants: If one adheres to a long-term investment strategy, resolutely abandons leverage tools, and gradually accumulates long-term positions through countless small-position operations, then forex trading inherently has no possibility of loss, and even subjectively pursuing losses is difficult to achieve. However, market reality presents a stark contrast—99% of forex traders ultimately succumb to the fate of losses. Upon closer examination, the answer is singular: these traders generally employ short-term trading, high-frequency trading, and heavy-position trading models under high leverage, which is precisely the core problem leading to losses.
Forex short-term trading is essentially a risk trap tailored to the weaknesses of ordinary investors' human nature. The core logic behind this trap lies in spreading legendary trading myths such as "beating the Bank of England," instilling in short-term traders the illusory belief that "foreign exchange market wealth is within reach," and inducing them to develop an irrational confidence that they are "chosen ones." The ultimate goal is always to plunder the wealth accumulation of short-term traders. Once short-term traders believe such narratives and invest their own funds, by the time they realize the truth of the market, their wealth has often been completely eroded, plunging them into an irrecoverable loss.
It needs to be clearly clarified that while there are indeed "enlightened" individuals in the market who can achieve profitability—this is an objective fact—for the vast majority of ordinary investors, hoping to consistently profit in the foreign exchange market is a cognitive illusion, and their inevitable fate is to eventually lose all their account funds. The core reason for this conclusion is that the rules of the foreign exchange trading game were designed from the outset to presuppose this outcome. While the rules of forex trading appear fair and just on the surface, they are in reality meticulously crafted to precisely target human weaknesses. Their operational logic is identical to that of a casino, always serving the goal of maximizing the profits of the capital holders.
Take the commonly used T+0 trading system as an example. While this system superficially grants traders the freedom to buy and sell instantly, it actually provides fertile ground for overtrading. From a human nature perspective, ordinary investors generally exhibit short-sightedness and a strong craving for immediate feedback: in a profitable state, they are prone to greed, leading to an increased trading frequency; in a losing state, they are prone to impulsive thinking, attempting to recoup losses through frequent trading, which also exacerbates the trading frequency. The T+0 system sets no limits on trading frequency, inevitably leading to the continuous accumulation of transaction fees. Ordinary traders' funds flow to the forex market and forex futures brokers' accounts at lightning speed, forming a one-way transfer of wealth. Looking at the margin system in forex trading, many ordinary traders mistakenly see it as a tool to amplify returns. In reality, however, this system amplifies human weaknesses and account volatility—by exploiting greed and fear to induce emotional decisions, it gradually guides traders into a habit of over-leveraging, accelerating the depletion of account funds and rapidly transferring wealth from ordinary traders to capital holders.
Two-way trading further amplifies these risks. While seemingly providing diversified profit opportunities, it exploits the physiological limitations of human decision-making capacity, combined with the synergistic effects of T+0 and leverage, ultimately leading ordinary traders into a state of high-frequency trading, over-leveraging, and emotional instability. Furthermore, various technical analysis theories circulating in the market essentially create the illusion of "certain market patterns," inducing traders into irrational decision-making; and the daily settlement system is the core vehicle for risk transfer, continuously transmitting market volatility risk to ordinary traders. The design of all the aforementioned systems and theories shares a highly consistent goal: to cultivate a large number of ordinary traders accustomed to high-leverage, high-frequency, and emotionally driven trading. These traders, in a self-destructive trading process, continuously generate profits for the capital providers. Therefore, ordinary forex traders should never attempt to challenge their own human limitations, nor should they try to escape the risk traps designed by the forex market elites—any significant loss is enough to plunge a trader into a prolonged predicament from which they cannot recover, and in severe cases, may even lead to tragedies such as family ruin and death.
Returning to the core point, it is emphasized again that as long as one adheres to a long-term investment strategy, resolutely abandons leverage tools, and gradually accumulates long-term positions through numerous small-position operations, there is no possibility of loss in forex trading. To further clarify misconceptions, it is necessary to focus on explaining the core relationship between position size and leverage in forex trading—some textbooks currently popular in the forex market contain cognitive biases, confusing the core logic of position size and leverage, leading ordinary traders to form incorrect understandings. In fact, the correct relationship between the two should be: when a trader's total position size equals their principal size, it is considered unleveraged trading; if the concept of leverage must be applied, the leverage ratio is 1:1. Similarly, when a trader's position size reaches 5 times their principal size, it is equivalent to using 5x leverage; when the position size reaches 10 times their principal size, it is equivalent to using 10x leverage. Clarifying this core logic helps ordinary traders overcome misconceptions and recognize the decisive impact of leverage and position size on trading results.
In the context of two-way forex trading, the core premise is that traders should abandon the irrational obsession with manipulating the forex market and instead focus their energy on managing their own trading psychology.
As a globalized capital flow vehicle, the foreign exchange market's fluctuations are influenced by a complex interplay of factors, including macroeconomic data, geopolitical dynamics, and monetary policy adjustments. This inherent objectivity and uncontrollability make it impossible for any individual trader to exert substantial control or manipulation. Attempting to alter market trends through subjective will is fundamentally a departure from market principles and often leads to flawed trading decisions.
In practical trading, most significant losses for forex traders stem not from the unpredictability of market movements, but from irrational psychological expectations. These expectations often deviate from actual market movements, manifesting as an excessive pursuit of profit potential and blindly predicting market reversals. When market movements contradict expectations, traders are prone to irrational actions due to their unwillingness to accept unmet expectations, such as blindly adding to positions or refusing to stop losses, ultimately amplifying losses. Conversely, many missed opportunities, such as missing optimal entry points or premature exits leading to reduced profits, often originate from psychological fear. This fear can manifest as excessive worry about losses and an instinctive avoidance of market volatility, causing traders to hesitate when faced with reasonable trading signals and ultimately miss profit opportunities.
It's important to clarify that whether it's unreasonable expectations leading to significant losses or the fear of missing opportunities, the core cause lies within the trader themselves and is not directly related to the objective fluctuations of the forex market. In the logic chain of forex trading, the trader's psychological state directly determines the scientific nature of trading decisions, which in turn directly affect account balances. Once psychological control is lost, trading decisions lose their rational support, the stability of account funds is disrupted, and a cycle of losses ensues. Therefore, for forex traders, the only feasible path to effectively control account funds and ensure long-term trading stability is to build a mature psychological management system and achieve precise control over their emotions.
This understanding also means that traders do not need to seek a so-called "perfect answer" within the forex market itself. The volatility of the foreign exchange market is random and uncertain; there are no absolute rules or standard answers. Overemphasizing precise predictions of market movements is essentially a misinterpretation of the core logic of trading. The true key to trading success or failure lies within the trader's own psychological state, such as a clear understanding of their own risk tolerance, strict adherence to trading discipline, and effective regulation of emotional fluctuations. Only by returning to oneself and building a solid psychological foundation for trading can one maintain clear decision-making in the complex and ever-changing two-way foreign exchange market and achieve steady growth in account funds.
In the context of two-way forex trading, the core premise is that traders should abandon the irrational obsession with manipulating the forex market and instead focus their energy on managing their own trading psychology.
As a globalized carrier of capital flows, the forex market's fluctuations are influenced by a complex interplay of factors, including macroeconomic data, geopolitical dynamics, and monetary policy adjustments. It possesses strong objectivity and uncontrollability; no individual trader can substantially dominate or control it. Attempting to alter market trends through subjective will is essentially a departure from market principles and often leads to flawed trading decisions.
From actual trading practice, the root cause of most forex traders' significant losses is not the unpredictability of market movements, but rather their own irrational expectations. Such expectations often deviate from actual market movements, manifesting as an excessive pursuit of profit potential and blind predictions of market reversals. When market movements contradict expectations, traders are prone to irrational actions due to their unwillingness to accept the reality of unmet expectations, such as blindly adding to positions or refusing to stop losses, ultimately amplifying losses. Conversely, many missed opportunities in trading, such as missing excellent entry points or premature exits leading to reduced profits, often stem from psychological fear. This fear may manifest as excessive worry about losses or an instinctive avoidance of market volatility, causing traders to hesitate when faced with reasonable trading signals, ultimately missing profit opportunities.
It is important to clarify that whether it is the irrational expectations leading to significant losses or the fear causing missed opportunities, the core cause lies within the trader themselves and is not directly related to the objective fluctuations of the forex market itself. In the logical chain of forex trading, the trader's psychological state directly determines the scientific nature of trading decisions, which in turn directly affect account balances. Once psychological control is lost, trading decisions lose their rational support, disrupting account stability and leading to a cycle of losses. Therefore, for forex traders, the only viable path to effectively control account funds and ensure long-term trading stability is to build a mature psychological management system and achieve precise control over their emotions.
This understanding also means that traders do not need to seek so-called "perfect answers" within the forex market itself. Forex market fluctuations are random and uncertain; there are no absolute rules or standard answers. Excessive focus on accurately predicting market trends is essentially a misinterpretation of the core logic of trading. In the practical dimension of two-way forex trading, a more valuable insight is that traders should maintain a calm and composed mindset, abandoning excessive obsession with trading results. This "calm" mindset can guide trading onto a smooth track. This aligns perfectly with the underlying logic of "great power arises from simplicity." When traders no longer focus excessively on the specific results of profit or loss, and no longer fret over short-term fluctuations, they can instead shed emotional interference, more keenly capture true market signals, make more rational trading decisions, and ultimately achieve trading results beyond expectations. In fact, the core secret to stable profitability has never been hidden in the unpredictable forex market, but rather rooted in the trader's own inner world—in the ability to cultivate this calm and composed mindset and achieve ultimate control over one's emotions. Only by truly returning to one's inner self, letting go of excessive expectations of results, and participating in trading with a peaceful and composed state can one maintain clear decision-making in the complex and ever-changing two-way forex market, gradually achieving long-term, stable profit growth.
In the forex two-way trading market, traders with coding skills and artificial intelligence application skills are essentially still part of the skill-based trading group, while traders with deep thinking abilities have advanced to become high-level, insightful investors.
This difference does not negate the value of skills, but rather clarifies the hierarchical positioning of different ability dimensions in the forex trading field. Skills are the foundation for traders to establish themselves in the market, while mindset is the core driving force for breaking through bottlenecks and achieving higher-level development.
Looking at the top traders in the forex two-way trading market, the logic behind building their core competitiveness often transcends simply accumulating skills, focusing more on building a systematic thinking framework. From the fundamental logic of market survival and development, professional trading skills help ordinary traders establish a basic risk control system and profit path, ensuring their stable survival in the market. Meanwhile, deep trading thinking allows top traders to transcend the boundaries of skills, gaining more initiative in a complex and ever-changing market environment. Whether it's trend judgment, position management, or risk hedging, they can form a differentiated decision-making system based on core thinking. In short, forex trading skills are the tools to achieve trading goals, while trading thinking is the core guiding principle that directs the correct use of those tools. While the two complement each other, the level of thinking directly determines a trader's market position.
Specifically, forex traders with coding skills can improve trading efficiency and optimize signal selection accuracy through algorithmic tools, thereby achieving the stable goal of "making small profits and minimizing losses" within a predetermined trading strategy framework. This ability is essentially the efficient execution and optimization of existing trading logic. The core advantage of top traders lies in their independent, in-depth thinking ability—the ability to raise key questions about the essence of the market, to understand the underlying logic of complex trading systems, and to make accurate judgments and withstand the pressure of irrational fluctuations in extreme market environments using a mature thinking system. More importantly, in-depth thinking ability drives top traders to break through the constraints of existing trading systems and create new trading logics and strategy models based on market changes. This is the core reason why they can achieve "making big profits and sustainable profitability."
From the perspective of the essence of forex trading education, its core goal is not simply to impart trading knowledge or operational skills, but to cultivate traders' in-depth thinking ability. In the information-overloaded and volatile two-way forex market, mere knowledge and skills are easily rendered obsolete by market iterations. Traders with deep thinking abilities, however, can independently update their knowledge, adapt their skills, and optimize their strategies, maintaining a keen awareness and judgment of the market. Therefore, high-quality forex trading education should focus on cultivating critical thinking, guiding traders to establish an independent market cognitive framework, rational decision-making logic, and mature risk awareness. This is the core value that helps traders achieve long-term stable development.
In the two-way forex market, traders who achieve long-term stable profits often endure far more hardships and trials than ordinary investors.
This market inherently possesses complex characteristics such as two-way volatility, leverage effects, and the interconnected impact of global macroeconomic factors. This means that the path to profitability is inherently uncertain from beginning to end. The core prerequisite for long-term stable profitability lies in the cognitive upgrades and skill development traders undergo through trials and tribulations while continuously dealing with these uncertainties.
From market practice, the transformation of most forex traders often occurs in dire straits—not simply account losses, but when losses reach their risk tolerance limits, even impacting basic living standards and leaving them isolated and helpless. Only then does a deep reflection and reconstruction of the trading system, market understanding, and one's own humanity truly begin. The saying "push yourself to the brink of death and you will survive" applies here. The hardships in forex trading are not intended to destroy traders, but rather to filter and shape qualified market participants through extreme pressure. Continuous market pressure gradually smooths out a trader's impetuous mentality, abandoning the impulse for quick profits; repeated setbacks force traders to explore their potential, refine their trading strategies and optimize risk control mechanisms by summarizing their losses, and gradually form a trading logic that aligns with market rules and their own characteristics. When traders finally achieve stable profitability and gain a competitive edge in the market, they will find that what supported their success was not the occasional profit bonuses along the way, but the cognitive iteration and skill enhancement brought about by the hardships that chased them.
It is important to clarify that experiencing hardship is not a sufficient condition for success in forex trading, but it is absolutely a necessary one. In this market, traders who have never faced financial pressure and lack a sense of risk awe often find it difficult to seriously address the potential risks in market fluctuations, let alone proactively establish rigorous trading discipline and risk control systems. Their trading behavior tends to be arbitrary, naturally making it difficult to achieve long-term stable profitability. The phrase "losing so much that even eating becomes a problem" mentioned here is more of an exaggeration of extreme risk pressure, intended to emphasize the role of risk awe brought about by capital scarcity in promoting trader growth, and is not an absolute definition of a real-world scenario. At the same time, it is necessary to exclude the special case of completely lacking initial trading capital, because in forex trading, reasonable capital is the foundation for implementing risk control and conducting normal trading. Without this foundation, even with mature trading knowledge, it is difficult to achieve profit goals through actual trading, let alone talk about growth and breakthroughs after overcoming hardships.
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Mr. Z-X-N
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